China ๐จ๐ณ’s Complicated Relationship with North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต
Foreword:
This was originally written on October 7, 2023. Same day as Hamas’s attack on Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ, could you believe it? I wrote this on quite an historic day. For the record, I wrote this before I found about the attack, and I found out about it by watching those text-to-speech videos talking about military news and war news. What a way to find out about a historic event such as that. But, I guess it isn’t as bad as learning about the Russian invasion of Ukraine ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ through that CNN breaking news report that was interrupted by an Applebee’s commercial ๐. Don’t believe me? Watch this video, somebody recorded the broadcast when the breaking news story about the Russian invasion of Ukraine ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ hit CNN, and was quickly interrupted by that Applebee’s ad ๐ just at the right moment when it occurred. Preserving it for future generations to see whenever they want to see a news report about a tragedy event be interrupted by or paired up with a poorly timed happy-go-lucky commercial or something really innocuous and stupid.
That wasn’t even the first time that happened, a McDonald’s commercial was played during a commercial break in-between a live broadcast of the 9/11 attacks, and then an exercise dance type of video was filmed in Myanmar ๐ฒ๐ฒ while the 2021 military coup was taking place. In fact, the coup was taking place in the background of that exercise dance video. I know, it’s not all the same as what I described learning about the October 7 attack through those cheaply made text-to-speech videos, but the point I’m making is that learning the attack through those kind of video isn’t as bad as learning about such an event from a mainstream legacy news outlet that’s reliant on ads as its main source of revenue, and there’s always bound to undercut the severity of a situation with the wrong commercial at the right time. I was also commenting on historic tragedies taking place as something mundane, innocuous, and ridiculous, undercutting the severity of those tragedy and unintentionally making light of them.
But, back to what I was saying about this post. This is my long anticipated North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต post. I know I haven’t really posted that much stuff about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต on this blog, but that’s because I haven’t really written that much stuff on North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต. I’ve mostly focused on China ๐จ๐ณ, Taiwan ๐น๐ผ, Russia ๐ท๐บ, Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ, Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ, Gaza, Lebanon ๐ฑ๐ง, and Iran ๐ฎ๐ท because those have been the hot topics as of late, and I have had a lot more to say about those than I have about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต. But, here’s another one for you guys to read, and since I now have access to Netflix again, I can now rewatch The Interview and re-review it for this blog.
I already did a review of The Interview a long time ago, but that was for my old YouTube channel, The Sci-Fi Dragon which I since deleted, and my review of that movie wasn’t that good and I’m not particularly proud of it. So, I’m willing to watch the movie again, and write a new of it now that I’m older and more mature, my perspective on film criticism has significantly changed, and my writing skills and have significantly improved. Just so that I can more North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต related content on my blog, and I can get more out of the North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต tag I made but barely due to lack of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต related posts.
This will probably be my final post of November, unless my aunt adds The Killer’s Game to her Fandango at Home account and I watch it in the coming days. But, even that’s the case, there is a chance I won’t get until after the 30th in which case, November will be over. But, I could still make my review of The Killer’s Game my first post of December, so that’s something. At least I managed to review Rebel Moon – Chapter Two: Curse of Forgiveness before November was over. I got one movie review out in a month mostly full of political posts. You can read my review of that movie if you want.
This is also the final entry in my series about China ๐จ๐ณ, it’s the last post that I’ve written about China ๐จ๐ณ that I haven’t already posted on here, and I probably won’t write or post anything more about China ๐จ๐ณ unless something major comes up. Like if Trump screws up those tariffs that’s he’s planning on implementing, and ends up jacking up prices on pretty much all Chinese goods ๐จ๐ณ (which is pretty much the majority of non-perishable goods that come into this country), bankrupting more farmers and other US businesses ๐บ๐ธ that rely on exporting goods to China ๐จ๐ณ, and even plunging the US ๐บ๐ธ into a recession or even a depression if things get really bad and those tariffs are really severe. Because he isn’t just planning putting tariffs on Chinese goods ๐จ๐ณ, he’s planning on putting tariffs on pretty much any imported good that comes into this country.
He’s already announced two other countries that he plans on putting tariffs on along with China ๐จ๐ณ, Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ and Canada ๐จ๐ฆ. Those are the countries that we get the majority of our goods from, especially China ๐จ๐ณ and Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ, a lot of our overseas manufacturing is done in those countries, a lot of food is imported from those countries. This will make inflation worse and will make prices go up even higher on pretty much everything. It will cause a major economic collapse. I wouldn’t be surprised if Trump also decides to put tariffs on the UK ๐ฌ๐ง too, like just start a trade war with the UK ๐ฌ๐ง, one of our greatest allies. This man is completely economically illiterate and thinks tariffs are the answer to everything when they obviously aren’t.
Or if China ๐จ๐ณ actually invades Taiwan ๐น๐ผ, god forbid. Every China expert ๐จ๐ณ and Taiwan expert ๐น๐ผ is pretty much unsure about what Trump would actually do in that eventuality, if he would actually come to Taiwan ๐น๐ผ’s defense or not. He has flip-flopped on this issue, as well as flip-flopped on the issue on China ๐จ๐ณ overall. You know, he claims to be anti-China ๐จ๐ณ, he talks a big game about going against China ๐จ๐ณ, and yet he likes Xi Jinping (he wants to be like Xi Jinping and have the same level of dictatorial power in the US ๐บ๐ธ that Xi does in China ๐จ๐ณ), he still has businesses and business connections in China ๐จ๐ณ through his daughter and son-in-law Ivanka Trump and Jared Kirschner, and he produces all of his ridiculous MAGA merch ๐บ๐ธ in China ๐จ๐ณ, all of it: the hats, the Bibles, the gold sneakers, whatever grift he’s got going on, it’s all manufactured in China ๐จ๐ณ. It all has that Made in China ๐จ๐ณ label on them. How ironic ๐.
Considering that before the election ๐ณ️, Trump alluded to the idea that he would not come to Taiwan ๐น๐ผ’s aid if it is ever invaded by China ๐จ๐ณ, I don’t think it’s likely that he would respond very strongly to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan ๐จ๐ณ๐น๐ผ, and he would send US military forces ๐บ๐ธ over to try to counter China ๐จ๐ณ. He’s not going to send the military to go fight China ๐จ๐ณ in the Taiwan Strait, it would make his supporters angry ๐ก that he’s intervening militarily in a foreign conflict when he vowed to be more isolationist.
In all honesty, if he uses military force at all during his presidency, it’ll be to either crackdown on protesters ๐ชง, round up immigrants, or bomb Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ because he wanted to do airstrikes in Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ against Mexican drug cartels ๐ฒ๐ฝ during his first term but was stopped by Mark Milley and the other responsible military people at the Pentagon, and Project 2025 talks invading for Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ…for some reason. The US ๐บ๐ธ would have nothing to gain and everything to lose from invading Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ, and yet the Heritage Foundation put it in Project 2025 as something they want Trump to do in his second term. They literally want Mexico ๐ฒ๐ฝ to become Trump’s Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ.
Plus, if he gets his way and Tulsi Gabbard becomes the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), there will be no intervention in such a conflict if it ever arises because she isn’t a believer in foreign intervention and is pro-Russia ๐ท๐บ, pro-Syria ๐ธ๐พ, pro-Iran ๐ฎ๐ท, probably pro-China ๐จ๐ณ, and probably pro-North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต. Meaning that Taiwan ๐น๐ผ will be pretty much on its own, and so long as Trump is the president, they need to operate on the assumption that they will be all on their own if anything bad happens, if things really do go south.
So, unless anything like that happens in the near future, don’t expect me to write dedicated posts about China ๐จ๐ณ. So far, I’ve written about China’s economy ๐จ๐ณ, Chinese propaganda ๐จ๐ณ, China ๐จ๐ณ’s plans and ambitions to invade and annex Taiwan ๐น๐ผ, and Taiwan ๐น๐ผ’s own history and how it relates to China ๐จ๐ณ, well, this time I’ve written about China ๐จ๐ณ’s relationship with North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, a fellow communist state ☭ to its south bordering directly with Manchuria, or more specifically, Jilin and Liaoning provinces. They’re separated by a Yalu River, and they’re only really connected by a bridge built before the Korean War ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท called the Yalu (Amnok) River Bridge, or the Sino-Korean Friendship Bridge as it was once known.
Though, there are areas on the Chinese-North Korean border ๐จ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ต that can be crossed by land and are separated by water ๐ฆ. I mean, all of those North Korean defectors ๐ฐ๐ต wouldn’t be able to flee into China ๐จ๐ณ if there were no entry points that could access on the land and be crossed on foot ๐ฆถ or in vehicle ๐ and the only entry way was through that bridge. Though a lot of North Korean defectors ๐ฐ๐ต choose to flee into South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท first, and if they so choose, they’ll take a flight or a boat trip to China ๐จ๐ณ. So, being to cross the Chinese-North Korean border ๐จ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ต on foot ๐ฆถ may be a bit moot.
North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต and China ๐จ๐ณ have a weird relationship to say the least. They were allies during the Korean War ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท, China ๐จ๐ณ directly intervened in that war militarily and fought on North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต’s side in order to push back the South Korean and UN forces ๐ฐ๐ท๐บ๐ณ and prevent them from toppling the Kim regime, and taking the north and unifying the peninsula under the south’s government. But after that war, the two countries went down drastically different paths, especially in the 1990s, where North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต suffered a major famine following the collapse of the Soviet Union ☭, while China ๐จ๐ณ was growing and becoming more integrated in the international order, on track to become one of the top economies in the entire world.
In the years after Mao’s death, China ๐จ๐ณ and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต had several disagreements with each other, like when the Sino-Soviet Split ๐จ๐ณ☭ happened (which actually started while Mao was still alive BTW), China ๐จ๐ณ and the Soviet Union ☭ both pressured North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต to pick a side, and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต chose not to pick either side and chose to main good relations with both countries. Though, in all honesty, I do think North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต did still favor the Soviet Union ☭ since they much more dependent on them economically to keep afloat and keep them fed, which is why North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต suffered the worst after the Soviet Union ☭’s dissolution.
Then, as China ๐จ๐ณ became much more economically powerful and significant, disagreements with the Hermit Kingdom increased as China ๐จ๐ณ was trying to prioritize relations with the West, and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต was getting in the way of that by being North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต was doing things that the Chinese ๐จ๐ณ disagreed with and considered objectionable, such as developing nuclear weapons ☢️, funding and committing terrorist attacks, and conducting political assassinations overseas.
North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต’s extreme totalitarianism and repression has been a source of criticism of many Chinese scholars and political scientists ๐จ๐ณ, as they wish that the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต would open their system up and implement market reforms just like they did. China ๐จ๐ณ was trying to improve and prioritize relations with South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, and even now under Xi, they do still prefer South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, at least from an economic perspective. They can actually do business and trade with South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท whereas they can’t with North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต.
Once Xi did take over, relations between China ๐จ๐ณ and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต did slightly improve, especially since under Xi, China ๐จ๐ณ has taken a more anti-Western stance and more aggressive foreign policy. But, even then, there are some disagreements and things that the Chinese ๐จ๐ณ disapprove of, such as the deepening ties between North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต and Russia ๐ท๐บ. China ๐จ๐ณ doesn’t like that Russia ๐ท๐บ and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต have formed a much closer military alliance with each other, in fact, China ๐จ๐ณ has never liked it when North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต has had closer ties with Russia ๐ท๐บ, and has actively tried in the past to keep them apart. Guess it reminds them too much of the ol’ Soviet days ☭.
But now, in the current climate that we’re in, there’s very little that China ๐จ๐ณ can actually do about this without upsetting either country especially since it has placed itself firmly with the anti-Western camp along with other countries such as Iran ๐ฎ๐ท, Syria ๐ธ๐พ, Myanmar ๐ฒ๐ฒ, Cuba ๐จ๐บ, and Belarus ๐ง๐พ. There are others, but those are the ones that immediately come to mind. They’re even considered apart of the so-called Axis of Upheaval along with Russia ๐ท๐บ, North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, and Iran ๐ฎ๐ท. But, this axis is not as cohesive as many foreign policy experts and geopolitical analysts like to make it seem.
These are vastly different countries with vastly different histories, cultures, and ideologies, and the only thing that really unites them is that they’re all dictatorships and they all hate the US ๐บ๐ธ. That’s not enough keep this gaggle of countries together, there will be disagreements, they will be a lack of coordination and cooperation, and this axis may end up falling apart as soon as the tiny bit of pressure is applied. It’s not even certain if China ๐จ๐ณ would even come to aid of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต and fight alongside them again if there ever was a Second Korean War ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท, which is something that this post and the video it responds to addresses.
Guess in that way, it is like the original Axis, the axis in which all axes are compared. The Axis Powers were not as cohesive or as tightly knit as they have often been portrayed as after World War II. They had many differences that kept them from working together as well as they could have, they barely coordinated and collaborated with each other, and they were often working against each other’s interests.
Fascist Italy ๐ฎ๐น proved to be much more of liability than a true asset as Nazi Germany often had to bail them out as they made tremendous mistakes, such as invading Greece ๐ฌ๐ท, then the Nazis had to occupy the northern half of Italy ๐ฎ๐น (creating a puppet state there) after the Mussolini regime fell to the Allies and the Allies began occupying the southern half as well as the two major islands, Sicily and Sardinia. And of course, Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan ๐ฏ๐ต didn’t collaborate at all with each other during the war, and were often working against each other.
Japan ๐ฏ๐ต had signed a non-aggression pact with the Soviet Union ☭ after they were humiliated by them in the Battle of Khalkhin Gol in 1939, while Germany invaded the Soviet Union ☭ in 1941. And of course, neither of them came to each other aid when they were facing off against an invigorated Allied force. Even as each other was losing, they didn’t come to the other’s aid and fight alongside them. Not that them fighting together would’ve made much of a difference, they still would have lost given their own weaknesses and shortcomings, especially resource wise, that couldn’t be overcome even by them working together. They were effectively fighting two different wars on two different sides of the planet at the same time, rather than fighting the same war on the same continent at the same time.
Since I did mention the deepening of military ties between Russia ๐ท๐บ and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, I guess it is fitting that I’m posting this now because North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต has been in the headlines as of late. Or at least, they were a few weeks ago, I guess I am still a bit late to the party with this one. In case you were unaware, the big news story in the last few weeks of October and first few weeks of November was that North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต officially joined the Russo-Ukrainian War ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ. Before, they were just supplying weapons to the Russians ๐ท๐บ to use in the war in Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ, mainly artillery shells that they’ve used on Ukrainian troops ๐บ๐ฆ and missiles and bombs that they’ve used on Ukrainian civilians ๐บ๐ฆ. But now, they’re actively participating in the war, sending their own troops to the frontline.
So far, they’ve only sent a thousand or so troops, which, as Jake Broe as noted, isn’t anywhere near to enough to affect the outcome or make up for Russia ๐ท๐บ’s massive and staggering battlefield losses, and they’ve only really sent them to the Kursk Oblast to try to expel the occupying Ukrainian forces ๐บ๐ฆ. I’m sure they will probably be deployed to the Ukrainian frontlines ๐บ๐ฆ at some point if they haven’t already, but right now, as far as I know, they’ve only been deployed to Kursk to help the Russians ๐ท๐บ evict the Ukrainians ๐บ๐ฆ from the territory. Something that they’ve so far failed at, the Ukrainians ๐บ๐ฆ are still there.
Because he’s a former Air Force Nuclear and Missile Operations Officer ☢️ (13N) who was stationed in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, Jake Broe has done countless videos talking about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต’s political system, their military, and their relationship with the US ๐บ๐ธ, Japan ๐ฏ๐ต, and South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, all to show this current arrangement between them and Russia ๐ท๐บ will not work out in the long run. Like, he’s talked about the Russian and North Korean troops ๐ท๐บ๐ฐ๐ต are already not getting along or coordinating effectively on the battlefield, largely due to the cultural differences and language barrier (most Russians ๐ท๐บ can’t speak Korean and most North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต can’t speak Russian), and the resentment Russian troops ๐ท๐บ already feel towards their military and government for not giving them the supplies and support they need being exasperated by the Russian military ๐ท๐บ prioritizing the needs of the North Korean troops ๐ฐ๐ต.
The North Korean military ๐ฐ๐ต is not supplying the troops they sent to Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ and Russia ๐ท๐บ, the Russian military ๐ท๐บ is supplying the North Korean troops ๐ฐ๐ต sent over by the North Korean military ๐ฐ๐ต. They’re supplying them with food, weapons, ammunition, blankets, you name it. The only thing they aren’t supplying them are their uniforms, the North Korean military ๐ฐ๐ต had the courtesy to provide their own troops with uniforms to wear on the battlefield.
And I guess, they did sort of supply them some food, it’s just that the food they gave them contains dog meat ๐, something that outraged the Russian troops ๐ท๐บ when they learned about it. I guess the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต still eat dogs ๐, whereas their South Korean counterparts ๐ฐ๐ท do not. They have stopped doing that, adopting a western attitude towards dogs ๐. No longer seeing them as food, but seeing them as pets and companions undeserving of death.
They just dumped them on the Russians ๐ท๐บ and they are now their full responsibility. The North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต just wiped their hands clean of these troops, and are not supplying them or taking care of them because these men ♂︎ are going to be able to go back to North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต. They’ve seen too much of the outside world to return to their home country in the eyes of the Kim regime, and they’re not accepting them back.
This is all according to Jake Broe, all this information about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต came from him, and he isn’t exactly the most reliable source of information, so I don’t know how much of this to believe. I mean, he listens to Peter Zahn for crying out loud and thinks he’s a genius, and we all know Peter Zahn is full of shit, what how he keeps predicting China ๐จ๐ณ’s collapse and it so far hasn’t happened. He’s just like Gordon Chang in that way with how he keeps predicting China ๐จ๐ณ’s collapse, and all of his predictions ending up being wrong.
He’s also a part of NAFO, which is a sector of the pro-Ukraine community ๐บ๐ฆ that has become rife with misinformation and disinformation, wishful thinking, and overconfidence, and has generally just lost the plot. Jake is a man ♂︎ who thinks he’s a lot smarter than he really is, and acts as if he knows it all, and has this kind of arrogance about him. I don’t know to explain, but that’s the sense I get from him. He acts as if he’s never been wrong, when he has, he’s been wrong before about a lot of things. I mean, he thought Kamala Harris was going to win the 2024 Election ๐ณ️, and kept telling us that she was going to win, and lo and behold, he was wrong. Harris didn’t win. I don’t watch him anymore, and I recommend that you don’t watch him anymore either. But, he does seem to at least know his stuff about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต and seems to be accurate about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต’s behavior both at home and abroad, so I’ll give him that.
When Kim Jong-un decided to send troops to Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ and Russia ๐ท๐บ, a lot of people were speculating about why he decided to do this, and what he and North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต as a whole have to gain from this. The majority of the pro-Ukraine community ๐บ๐ฆ (spearheaded by Jake Broe) seems to have settled on the idea that Kim did this to try to influence the 2024 US Presidential Election ๐บ๐ธ๐ณ️ and try to get Donald Trump elected. Because hey, North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต is allied with Russia ๐ท๐บ, Putin and Kim are allies, Trump likes Putin, and he seems to have some kind of bromance with Kim as well. He still talks about him fondly even to this day. It all makes sense, right? No. I don’t really buy that, I’ve never bought into that. Especially when you consider the fact that the majority of Americans ๐บ๐ธ don’t care at all about foreign policy. They don’t know anything about the Russo-Ukrainian War ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ, and Russia ๐ท๐บ is doing, or what North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต is doing, and what the war is even about.
So, given how little importance foreign policy is in the American psyche ๐บ๐ธ, and how little Americans ๐บ๐ธ know or care about it, how much of an effect did North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต sending its troops to Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ and Russia ๐ท๐บ really have on the outcome of the election ๐ณ️? I’m going to guess pretty small if any at all. I doubt that the majority of the Americans ๐บ๐ธ that voted for Trump based their vote on whether North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต had troops in Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ or not. It didn’t sway the election ๐ณ️ at all one way or another because most Americans ๐บ๐ธ are ignorant about foreign policy. The only time they care about foreign policy is when the US ๐บ๐ธ is directly involved in a war and American troops ๐บ๐ธ are fighting in it, or if it has to do with Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ and Palestine ๐ต๐ธ. North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต sending troops to Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ and Russia ๐ท๐บ ticks neither of those boxes. So, that explanation for why North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต decided to join the war and send its own troops to the frontline doesn’t make sense to or hold any ground whatsoever.
But, since I mentioned Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ again, can I just say that I can’t wait until all the people predicting Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ’s imminent collapse have egg on their faces just like all the people predicting China ๐จ๐ณ’s collapse. The people who are saying now that Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ is going to collapse as a result of their war against Hamas and their invasion of Lebanon ๐ฑ๐ง are all pro-Russia ๐ท๐บ, pro-China ๐จ๐ณ, pro-Iran ๐ฎ๐ท, and probably pro-Hamas and pro-Hezbollah.
I saw this one video by one this YouTuber who also predicted Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ’s collapse, where he said that he talks about war crimes and human rights abuses committed by the US ๐บ๐ธ and Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ, as well as a third country but I don’t remember which one, it might’ve been Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ, or the UK ๐ฌ๐ง, or France ๐ซ๐ท, some other US ally ๐บ๐ธ that him and his ilk deem “problematic.” I think it might’ve been Australia ๐ฆ๐บ now that I think about it because these people really hate Australia ๐ฆ๐บ, even more than they hate the UK ๐ฌ๐ง and France ๐ซ๐ท.
Because Australia ๐ฆ๐บ is one of America ๐บ๐ธ’s closest, strongest, most reliable allies, even more so than the UK ๐ฌ๐ง, and they have participated in nearly all of America ๐บ๐ธ’s major wars since the end of World War II. But, the real reason they hate Australia ๐ฆ๐บ is because they were accused of war crimes during the War in Afghanistan ๐ฆ๐ซ, particularly the Australian SAS ๐ฆ๐บ, who gunned down a bunch of Afghan civilians ๐ฆ๐ซ while on a routine patrol or something like that. He didn’t say if he covers Russian war crimes ๐ท๐บ, he didn’t say if he covered Chinese or North Korean human rights abuses ๐จ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ต, which makes me think that he doesn’t cover them at all.
This is very typical of these kind of people. They only talk about war crimes, human rights abuses, or even genocide when it’s a Western or Western-aligned country like the United States ๐บ๐ธ, or Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ, or the UK ๐ฌ๐ง, or France ๐ซ๐ท, or Australia ๐ฆ๐บ, or Saudi Arabia ๐ธ๐ฆ, but never talk about those very same things when it’s Russia ๐ท๐บ, China ๐จ๐ณ, Iran ๐ฎ๐ท, North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, Belarus ๐ง๐พ, Syria ๐ธ๐พ, Cuba ๐จ๐บ, Myanmar ๐ฒ๐ฒ, or even Venezuela ๐ป๐ช doing it. Sure, they might cover a terrorist organization like ISIS, which is responsible for multiple war crimes and even genocide, but only so far as they can blame the US ๐บ๐ธ for creating ISIS. Which, yeah, the US ๐บ๐ธ’s actions, particularly in Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ, were at least partially responsible for creating the breeding ground for a group like ISIS to emerge, but you can’t blame the US ๐บ๐ธ entirely for the rise of ISIS or for creating ISIS (which kind of goes into conspiracy theory territory). Must we forget Assad’s role in the rise of ISIS?
He started a civil war in his own country just to hold onto power, and that too created the perfect breeding ground for ISIS to emerge. It gave ISIS something to exploit just as Iraqi prime minister ๐ฎ๐ถ Nouri al-Maliki’s persecution of Sunnis gave ISIS something to exploit in Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ around the same time. Don’t forget Nouri al-Maliki was put in power by the United States ๐บ๐ธ, or at least, the US ๐บ๐ธ helped him get into power. In fact, Syria ๐ธ๐พ was the first country where ISIS gained ground and it was because of the civil war there that ISIS became as powerful as they became, that they were able to create their own unrecognized quasi-state, their self-declared caliphate.
But you’ll never hear these people talk about Assad’s culpability in causing the rise of ISIS or at least exasperating it, Assad is innocent and blameless in all this. He’s a poor innocent victim being bullied by the US ๐บ๐ธ. They’d rather just blame the US ๐บ๐ธ for everything bad in the world, and act like the US ๐บ๐ธ and its closest allies are the only countries in the world that commit war crimes or human rights abuses because that’s their MO. That’s their entire world view: America bad ๐บ๐ธ.
And Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ is a US ally ๐บ๐ธ and has been a US ally ๐บ๐ธ for many decades, and they consider Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ to be apart of the “American Empire ๐บ๐ธ.” So, they’re more than happy to criticize Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ and everything it does. Which is not something that I have a problem with inherently, there is plenty to legitimately criticize Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ for. Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ’s encroachment on the West Bank is against international law, they’ve committed war crimes in pretty much every war they’ve ever fought, including the one they’re currently fighting in Gaza. In fact, their conduct in the war in Gaza does border on genocide. Those are things that are worthy of criticism, and Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ should be condemned and punished for all of that. Even if it unlikely to face any real consequences for any of its actions in Gaza or in the Palestinian lands ๐ต๐ธ as a whole. It’s just that these people approach it from the standpoint of “America bad ๐บ๐ธ,” and any criticism they made towards Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ has to fit into that narrative, their narrow view that America ๐บ๐ธ is bad, and is an evil empire that is responsible for all the world’s problems.
That’s why now, they’re gleefully predicting Israel ๐ฎ๐ฑ’s collapse because to them it represents a piece of the American Empire ๐บ๐ธ falling. The first domino of many to fall, in their eyes. Of course, they’re world view is wrong, and their predictions will be wrong, and I’ll be happy ๐ to see the looks on their faces when their predictions are proven wrong and that Israeli collapse ๐ฎ๐ฑ never materializes. They’ll look so stupid, and more people (at least, smart, sane, and rational people) will see them for the hypocritical idiots that they are.
I think all these pro-Ukrainian content creators ๐บ๐ฆ got caught up in the moment and political intrigue of it all, like they’re all stuck in their little bubble ๐ซง and have convinced themselves that everyone cares about foreign policy and cares about this particular conflict and its outcome as much as they do. When the evidence points to the contrary that they do not. So, I really don’t know Kim Jong-un decided to send troops to Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ, and we will likely never know the answer in our lifetimes unless the North Korean regime ๐ฐ๐ต just up and collapses in our lifetime.
All I know is that all of the troops that Kim did send are all likely either going to die or they’re going to desert and defect. North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต’s military is weak, and hasn’t fought a real war in 71 years. Their troops (much like Russia ๐ท๐บ’s) are poorly equipped, poorly trained, and malnourished and diseased as all hell. Their morale is pretty much at rock bottom, and they’ve barely entered the field. To put it another way, their morale entering the war completely fresh is worse than the Russians’ ๐ท๐บ morale three years into the war fighting and dying. Not only that, but they’re fighting in a foreign war, in terrain they’re unfamiliar with, alongside troops of a completely different military that they have no cultural or linguistic similarities with, and already hates their guts due to racism, xenophobia, and resentment and jealousy. They are not going to be an effective fighting force.
Speaking of things in the headlines, Matt Gaetz is not going to be the next Attorney General (AG) ๐. I don’t mean to keep harping on Trump and the election ๐ณ️, but since I mentioned Matt Gaetz and the whole AG nomination situation, I want to give an important update about it just in case you saw the post where I mentioned this then ongoing news story. Basically, Matt Gaetz withdrew his name from the AG nomination due to the mounting pressure from Republicans in Congress who were vocally upset about him being picked to be the next Attorney General. But, he’ll never admit that. He claims it was because he didn’t want to be a distraction for the Trump transition team, but we all know that’s bullshit. It’s because he’s a pedophile and a sex trafficker, and everyone in Congress knows that he is, and he was worried about the House Ethics Committee’s reports about his crimes getting out. He knew there was no chance of getting confirmed, so he bailed out while he still could.
So, he’s no longer in consideration for AG. We got one win so far, yay ๐๐. That’s still not quite where we need to be, but it’s a start ๐↕️. Trump has already found a new pick for the position: a woman ♀︎ named Pam Bondi. I don’t know anything about her, and I don’t know anyone else who does as no one seems to have heard of this woman ♀︎ before she was chosen to be Trump’s replacement choice for AG. The only thing I or anyone else really knows about her is that she’s a Trump supporter, a hardcore MAGA Trumper ๐บ๐ธ, which was to be expected.
Everyone that Trump has picked to be in his cabinet are all loyalists. They’re either true believers in the MAGA cause ๐บ๐ธ (to the degree that it even has a cause) who are loyal to him and him alone, or they’re people who he owes favors to or who owe favors to him. Plus, she’s an attractive blonde woman ๐ฉ๐ผ, and Trump only picks women ♀︎ based on their looks and whether or not he personally finds them attractive. That’s probably a big reason why he picked Tulsi Gabbard to be the DNI. She’s an attractive woman ♀︎ who looks good in front of the cameras, and who Trump would personally want to fuck. So, even if she is a loyalist as all Trump appointees are, and will do a bad job and do a lot of damage, that is still preferable to a sexual predator.
I’m just glad that Matt Gaetz is going to be the next AG because he would’ve been a terrible Attorney General. He would’ve made Merrick Garland look decent by comparison. I mean, I’m sure this Pam woman ♀︎ is going to be pretty bad too, she seems pretty unqualified for the job that Trump has picked her for, but not as bad or as contradictory and an affront to everything this country holds dear as Gaetz holding that position. Now I hope that RFK Jr. and Pete Hegseth withdraw and don’t get confirmed, even if that’s not very likely ๐. Even if they’re completely objectionable, there just aren’t enough people in Congress who hate those two men ♂︎ enough to block their confirmation or threaten to. Same goes for Tulsi Gabbard, Elon Musk, and Vivek Ramaswamy, and others unfortunately ๐.
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(This is the flag of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต.)
I watched an interesting video put out by the Korea Society's official YouTube channel talking about China ๐จ๐ณ's relationship with North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, and how it has evolved over the decades since the Korean War ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท. It was a livestream interview of a man ♂︎ named Dr. Sungmin Cho, who has researched extensively on Sino-North Korean relations ๐จ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ต, using the work from Chinese scholars ๐จ๐ณ as his primary source. Now, you might think, "How we can trust anything those Chinese scholars ๐จ๐ณ say? Isn't China ๐จ๐ณ a closed and opaque system with widespread censorship of the media?"
Well, Dr. Cho came up with a way to determine what is true and what is genuine by seeing what these Chinese scholars ๐จ๐ณ are willing to write about given the censorship. It's a little bit hard to explain, and I don't remember exactly what he said, you'll just have to watch the video for yourself, the point is that Dr. Cho was able to decipher Chinese scholarly thought ๐จ๐ณ on North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต as well as official Chinese policy ๐จ๐ณ on North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, despite the censorship of the media in China ๐จ๐ณ. And needless to say, Chinese and North Korean relations ๐จ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ต are a lot more complicated, and not as clear cut as you might expect. I mean, I watched the whole video, and even I don't fully understand China ๐จ๐ณ's relationship with North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, and what the Chinese ๐จ๐ณ actually think of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต.
From what I do understand, while China ๐จ๐ณ does maintain friendly relations with North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, simply on the basis that they're both communist states ☭ with authoritarian rule, and they fought alongside them in the Korean War ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท, they do slightly prefer South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท as far as economics and trade are concerned. South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท is just a far richer country than North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, and thus, bilateral economic ties with South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท are more lucrative; although, relations between China ๐จ๐ณ and South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท are becoming strained, and South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท is slowly but steadily moving away from China ๐จ๐ณ; recognizing the clear and present threat that they pose, just like Japan ๐ฏ๐ต has. These scholars that Dr. Cho read and sourced his research from have even come to the same conclusion about North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต that the rest of us have: that the North Korean regime ๐ฐ๐ต is inflexible, and it is incapable of reform of any kind, economic or political.
If economic and political reforms were to be introduced, the North Korean regime ๐ฐ๐ต would completely unravel and fall apart. And obviously, the Kim family, and all of their cronies and goons in the Korean Workers' Party (WPK), want to stay in power as long as possible. So, they've chosen to keep their system closed, and never reform even if that prevents them from achieving economic prosperity. Regime security always comes first for the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต. The Kim family and the party officials care more about protecting themselves, and preserving their power than they do about their own people, the North Korean populace ๐ฐ๐ต. So, the possibility of an open North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต with a mixed market economy similar to that of China ๐จ๐ณ or Vietnam ๐ป๐ณ is very unlikely.
The Chinese ๐จ๐ณ seem to have an understanding that if reunification were to ever happen, it likely be under the South Korean government ๐ฐ๐ท, not the North ๐ฐ๐ต. The Chinese government ๐จ๐ณ obviously can't say this publicly, otherwise they would upset the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต, and they don't want that. The North Korean regime ๐ฐ๐ต is a very dangerous and unpredictable one, and even the Chinese government ๐จ๐ณ (dangerous, authoritarian, oppressive in their own) are worried about what the North Korean government ๐ฐ๐ต might do if it's "pushed too far." So, they just leave it to scholars and academics to express these opinions, albeit in a very censored form.
That brings me to the next point about this interview/Q&A livestream, Dr. Cho stated that China ๐จ๐ณ has sort of developed a strategic ambiguity on whether or not they would assist North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต militarily if anything were to happen on the Korean Peninsula, if another war were to break out; ironic, isn't it? Obviously, the Chinese ๐จ๐ณ don't really want North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต to attack South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท and they don't really want to help North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต attack South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, but they also don't want South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท to attack North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, and they certainly don't want the United States ๐บ๐ธ to help South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท attack North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต.
But, they've maintained some level of ambiguity on whether or not they'd help out North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต if fighting ever took place. They aren't as protective of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต as they were during the Mao era. China ๐จ๐ณ's leaders after Mao Zedong were not and are not as radical as he was, and thus, are not as willing to go fight for them as he was. You know, they aren't just going to fight for North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต for the sake of the revolution, they have other things to consider, things that far important than a dumb revolution; like economics, internal stability, and their own regime security.
We just don't know how China ๐จ๐ณ would actually react if a Second Korean War ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท broke out, or even if the Korean Peninsula reunified (peacefully). There are some concerns that China ๐จ๐ณ may try to annex North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, or establish a new puppet government, and thus prevent reunification if the Kim regime were to collapse somehow, and Dr. Cho did somewhat address those concerns, but didn't give them any credence; he's not convinced that China ๐จ๐ณ would do either of those things.
Personally, I could see China ๐จ๐ณ doing something like that if they tried invading and annexing territory from Russia ๐ท๐บ in the event of a collapse of the Putin regime; like, the Putin regime falls due to a humiliating and devastating defeat in Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ, and China ๐จ๐ณ decides to take advantage of the power vacuum and political instability, and retake the territories they lost to Russia ๐ท๐บ all those years ago during the time of the Qing Dynasty and the so-called "Century of Humiliation"; if they didn't do that, then I would think the likelihood of China ๐จ๐ณ doing something similar to Korea in the event of a North Korean collapse ๐ฐ๐ต would be a lot lower.
Dr. Cho did say that if Korean reunification were to take place, we should expect China ๐จ๐ณ to oppose any continued US military presence ๐บ๐ธ on the Korean Peninsula after reunification takes place. I mean, that's a given, China ๐จ๐ณ has always opposed the US presence ๐บ๐ธ in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, and has always opposed military cooperation between both countries. I mean, they threw a hissy fit when the US ๐บ๐ธ deployed the THAAD missile defense system in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท for South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท to defend itself from North Korean ballistic missiles ๐ฐ๐ต (particularly those with nuclear warheads ☢️).
They even tried to convince the South Koreans ๐ฐ๐ท to get rid of THAAD, which of course pissed off the South Koreans ๐ฐ๐ท, and caused anti-China ๐ซ๐จ๐ณ sentiment to grow in the country. They'd probably continue opposing it even after the peninsula is reunified under the Republic of Korea (ROK) government ๐ฐ๐ท, and even if the government wanted US forces ๐บ๐ธ to stay in the country, which I do think is very likely.
And by that same token, the US ๐บ๐ธ would probably want to stay in Korea ๐ฐ๐ท after reunification because they'd want to safeguard the country, maintain stability, securing nuclear sites ☢️ in the north, disarming and removing any and all WMDs (weapons of mass destruction) on the peninsula, and also to protect the unified Korea ๐ฐ๐ท from Chinese provocation and aggression ๐จ๐ณ; assuming that China is even still under the People's Republic of China (PRC) government ๐จ๐ณ by then.
And also Russia ๐ท๐บ, we can't forget the Russia factor ๐ท๐บ either because a unified Korea ๐ฐ๐ท would share a direct border with Russia ๐ท๐บ, and we all know that Russia ๐ท๐บ is capable of being aggressive towards neighbors and has a desire to expand its own territory beyond the internationally recognized 1991 borders. It's what the war in Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ is at least partially about. So, I'm sure Korea ๐ฐ๐ท would want a US military presence ๐บ๐ธ to deter Russian aggression ๐ท๐บ towards them. Of course, this is assuming that Putin is still in power by the time Korea reunifies, or that the Russian leaders ๐ท๐บ that succeed him after he dies will maintain an anti-Western and imperialist foreign policy.
It's very possible that Korean stability ๐ฐ๐ท would be quiet precarious in the days, weeks, months, and even years after reunification, and it would be in America ๐บ๐ธ's best interest to help maintain that stability, so that the unified Korea ๐ฐ๐ท can stay on its feet, and not fall because reunifying North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต with South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท would make the state very wobbly just because North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต had been separate from South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท for so long, and the North Korean people ๐ฐ๐ต have lived under a completely different style of government than in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท. When reunification happens (if it happens), these people will be under a system of a government that's completely alien to them.
They haven't known anything else, now they'd be thrust into this more new system (new system to them, but not to the Koreans who lived in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท all their lives). Then, there's the issue of brainwashing. The Kim regime has indoctrinated a huge portion of the population to love the Kim family, to see the current Supreme Leader (who is always a member of the Kim family) as an infallible god-emperor, to hate America ๐บ๐ธ, hate Japan ๐ฏ๐ต, and hate South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท. That's an issue that we'd probably have to tackle if reunification ever happens. In addition to that, all these people from the North would be very impoverished, and possibly malnourished, so you'd have to take care of that problem with welfare and food programs. It would be a huge and difficult effort to integrate these people into the new unified Korea ๐ฐ๐ท.
Then, there's the infrastructural component. North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต hasn't really modernized since 1991, when the Soviet Union ☭ (their main benefactor) collapsed, and has kind of been a state that's been frozen in time. It's a state that still looks and feels like one from the 1980s or early 90s; some parts of the country look like the 1950s or 60s. In addition, the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต don't have access to the Internet. They have a closed system called an Intranet, which only has a few party-approved websites, and on top of that, the only people who access to it are top party officials; so ordinary North Korean citizens ๐ฐ๐ต have no access to the Internet whatsoever.
They don't even have access to information of any kind. There's only one newspaper ๐ฐ in the entire country, it's a state-owned newspaper ๐ฐ, which means that it's only government-approved propaganda and isn't really news. They probably don't even talk about what's going on the outside, only what's happening in the country itself, and only what the government (the party) wants them to know.
On top of that, you aren't allowed to take this newspaper ๐ฐ out of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, it's illegal to do so and would probably get you sent to one of their infamous prison camps; the only people the North Korean government ๐ฐ๐ต has allowed to take a copy of the newspaper ๐ฐ out of the country are the Russians ๐ท๐บ, the Russian government officials ๐ท๐บ who visited recently; they let them take a copy as a souvenir, and let their propagandists show it on their state-owned, state-run TV channels.
So, if Korea is reunified under the ROK government ๐ฐ๐ท, then they would have to rebuild the infrastructure of the north, modernize it. They'd probably have to build roads or rebuild roads, build railway lines, or rebuild railway lines, build airports, build new housing, and build new hospitals. They'd have to build cell towers (probably 5G) around the north because while there are cell towers in North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, there very few of them, and the people have no cellphone service, or very little cellphone service. They'd have to find a way to provide Internet to the north, whether it's with satellites, or cables, or fiber-optics.
Speaking of the prison camps, they'd have to dismantle those, and remove that whole structure and system; just for the simple reason that it is anathema to the ROK ๐ฐ๐ท's democratic values and the rule of law, as well as an obvious and flagrant violation of human rights. They'd also have to remove any and all symbols of the North Korean regime ๐ฐ๐ต including those statues of Kim Il-sung and Kim Jong-il, and probably Kim Jong-un too, if he's already dead by the time Korea is reunified. Of course, this is all assuming that reunification happens completely peacefully, and isn't the result of a war; if Korea is reunified through war (and if that war somehow went nuclear ☢️), then all these issues that I've laid out and more will be way worse, and the whole endeavor of integrating the north with the south will that much more difficult.
And that would mean that the unified Korea ๐ฐ๐ท would be quite wobbly at first, and constantly teetering between stability and instability. You know, this isn't going to be like when Germany ๐ฉ๐ช reunified, it's going to be a lot more difficult and way more time consuming; this will likely be decades long effort or several decades long effort. Not just because the two Koreas ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฐ๐ท have been separated for far longer than the two Germanys ๐ฉ๐ช were, but because the two states, these two governments are so vastly different and gone down such drastically different paths, that the gap between the two is a lot wider, and will be harder to bridge.
For these reasons, many South Koreans ๐ฐ๐ท today are very reluctant about reunification. It would possibly mean that their standard of living would affected by this huge paradigm shift, this huge change in the status quo. And they're just mentally (and possibly financially) unprepared for change on the Korean Peninsula. So, Korea ๐ฐ๐ท would probably need some help, and I think the US ๐บ๐ธ and Japan ๐ฏ๐ต would want to help them in any way they could, including maintaining a military presence in the country.
As far as the WMD issue goes, I think that's another huge reason why the US ๐บ๐ธ would not pull out of Korea, at least, not at first. They want to make sure that all those WMDs in the north are secure, and accounted for, and are removed so that they don't fall into the wrong hands, and aren't used by any malign actors.
Dr. Cho did stress that China ๐จ๐ณ should be cooperate with the US ๐บ๐ธ and Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, and be a productive and responsible actor in helping safeguard the peninsula, helping maintain stability, and help in the effort to disarm and remove any and all WMDs from the north, including nuclear weapons, chemical weapons, and biological weapons ☢️☣️. North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต has all three, and removing them would be paramount in the event of a dissolution of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) ๐ฐ๐ต, and the reunification of the Korean Peninsula.
Although, I do have strong doubts that China ๐จ๐ณ would all that cooperative or helpful in such efforts. They'd probably be unproductive and unreliable. I mean, they aren't even helping enforce the sanctions against North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต, or any of the arms control efforts against North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต's nuclear weapons program ☢️, even though curtailing North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต's nuclear ambitions ☢️ would be in their best interest. Why should we expect them to aid us in the disarmament efforts after North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต falls, and reunification happens?
I think we'd have a better chance of getting the UN ๐บ๐ณ to help with WMD security and disarmament efforts, like we could probably rely more on UN weapons inspectors ๐บ๐ณ to help us remove these weapons from the Korean Peninsula than we could the Chinese government and military ๐จ๐ณ. After, UN inspectors ๐บ๐ณ did successfully manage to disarm Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ and Libya ๐ฑ๐พ of their WMD stockpiles. Even if we the US ๐บ๐ธ didn't know for sure that Iraq ๐ฎ๐ถ had fully disarmed, and decided to invade them just to make sure. But, that's a whole other issue that I won't get into.
Dr. Cho did also touch on the possibility of North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต getting involved in a potential Taiwan contingency ๐น๐ผ on China ๐จ๐ณ's side, and how these two situations, the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula would intersect. He did say that while he does think that it's unlikely that North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต would get directly involved in the war, or that China ๐จ๐ณ directly ask for their assistance, for their entry into the war, we should still prepare for that scenario, and plan for it just in case it does happen. With a war already going on in the Taiwan Strait, and China ๐จ๐ณ and the US ๐บ๐ธ distracted by that war, North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต may decide on its own to take advantage of the chaos and the distraction, and launch missile and artillery attacks on South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, similar to the Bombardment of Yeonpyeong in 2010 or worse.
After all, North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต did take advantage of the US ๐บ๐ธ being distracted by the Vietnam War ๐ป๐ณ, and launched another attack on South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท; this was called the Korean DMZ Conflict and it lasted from 1966 to 1969, smack dab in the middle of peak US involvement ๐บ๐ธ in the Vietnam War ๐ป๐ณ. So, it is always possible that North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต may try doing something to South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, launching attacks into South Korean territory (launching missiles or artillery shells), or clashing with US and South Korean forces ๐บ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ท along the DMZ (Demilitarized zone) again if the US ๐บ๐ธ and China ๐จ๐ณ are engaged in a war over Taiwan ๐น๐ผ; a war that would no doubt be as big, or way bigger than the Vietnam War ๐ป๐ณ.
China ๐จ๐ณ might ask North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต to assist them in their war effort by supplying them ammunition just like Russia ๐ท๐บ did recently. China ๐จ๐ณ might ask North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต to invade South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท as a way of stretching the US military ๐บ๐ธ's forces thin by forcing them to divide their attention between both the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Strait. North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต may decide on its own to launch a major attack on South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท whether that be an invasion, or just a missile barrage (a large-scale bombardment of Seoul and other major cities in the South ๐ฐ๐ท) without being egged on by China ๐จ๐ณ.
Of all the worst case scenarios, that's probably the worst one because it would definitively show what's already pretty apparent: that China ๐จ๐ณ really doesn't have as much control over North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต as we might've thought, in fact they don't have any control over them at all, not really; they can suggest things to the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต, but the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต can and will probably just ignore those suggestions, and just do whatever the hell they want; and the Chinese ๐จ๐ณ will just have to accept it, and go along with it because there's nothing they can do about it short of going to war with them. North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต is pretty roguish and independent. If they want to do something, they'll do it regardless of what other countries want them to do, or what other countries tell them to do; that includes even "friendly" countries like China ๐จ๐ณ and Russia ๐ท๐บ.
It would also show what's also already pretty apparent right now: that North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต is an opportunistic country, the Kim regime is an opportunistic one, and they will take advantage of chaos and violence in the region (East Asia, or Southeast Asia, or the Indo-Pacific as a whole) if they believe it will benefit them somehow, or will undermine their enemies somehow; we know this already because they've done it before, like during Vietnam ๐ป๐ณ. Or North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต may just decide to sit this one out, and not do anything except voicing support and solidarity with China ๐จ๐ณ's attempt to take Taiwan ๐น๐ผ; that's the ideal scenario.
As Dr. Cho noted, China ๐จ๐ณ would not benefit from opening a second front in Korea, and asking the North Koreans ๐ฐ๐ต to invade South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท because that would mean they'd also have to divide their attention between trying to invade Taiwan ๐น๐ผ, and assisting North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต in its invasion of South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท; meaning it would be even harder for them to succeed in Taiwan ๐น๐ผ than they would be otherwise.
So, as a result, he views it as the least likely scenario, but did say that we should be careful and prepare for the worst. I agree with him for the most part. I wrote a piece about a possible Taiwan War ๐น๐ผ, and brought up this scenario of China ๐จ๐ณ asking North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต to invade South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท, and opening a second front in the war, and I said that China ๐จ๐ณ would be stupid for doing that, and they'd gain nothing from expanding the war to the Korean Peninsula; then it really would be World War III. But, we shouldn't expect North Korea ๐ฐ๐ต not to be affected by a Taiwan War ๐น๐ผ at all, like that conflict would reverberate throughout the entire region, and many countries would be touched by it, whether they'd want to or not.
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Here's the video:
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